Not temperature — wind chill is what you need to watch

When the thermometer reads −20 and the wind is 7 m/s, your skin doesn't feel −20 — it feels −31. That gap is described by the wind chill index. It shows the air temperature exposed skin actually feels when you factor in the wind. Environment Canada, which introduced the modern formula, uses it for all winter weather warnings

Rough guidelines for a walk:

  • Down to −10 °C wind chill — regular winter clothing, no restrictions
  • −10 to −27 °C — you need gloves, hat, scarf, covered face. Safe with the right gear
  • −28 to −39 °C — exposed skin will freeze in 10-30 minutes. Not a single uncovered patch allowed
  • −40 to −47 °C — frostbite in 5-10 minutes. Walks only short and purposeful
  • Below −48 °C — frostbite in 2-5 minutes. Stay home

Sites like weather.com, meteoblue.com and the Windy app show the "feels like" temperature alongside the actual one. For an Astana or Petropavl forecast in winter, that's the number to watch


Three layers — the only principle that works

In the cold, your body loses heat four ways: radiation, convection (wind), conduction (contact with cold surfaces) and evaporation of sweat. Layered clothing blocks all four, and each layer does its own job:

  • Base (next-to-skin). Thermal wear in merino wool or synthetic (Polartec, Coolmax). Wicks sweat away from the skin. The base layer's main enemy is cotton: it soaks up sweat and keeps it next to your body, turning the base into a cold compress
  • Mid layer (insulation). Fleece, down or synthetic vest/jacket. Job: hold the heat in. Adjustable: fleece is enough at −5, at −30 you need a down jacket with 600+ fill power
  • Outer layer (shell). Windproof, ideally water- and snow-resistant jacket. Blocks the wind that kills the insulation of your mid layers

Head, neck, hands, feet and face — a separate story:

  • A snug hat in wool or fleece. Up to 10% of body heat is lost through the head (the "50%" myth was debunked long ago, but the 10% is real)
  • Scarf or buff over nose and mouth. Not for looks — for warming the air you breathe in (more on this below)
  • Gloves in two layers or mittens. Mittens are warmer because the fingers warm each other. At −25 a single layer of gloves won't cut it
  • Wool or Smartwool socks, and boots a half- to full-size larger — so there's an air gap for insulation. Tight winter boots are colder than loose ones
  • Insulated waterproof boots with grip. In Astana and Petropavl, ice underfoot is a constant winter hazard

Frostbite — three phases, how to recognize it, what to do

The Wilderness Medical Society updated its clinical guidelines on frostbite in 2024. The most important thing to know on a walk: frostbite doesn't start where it's "unbearable" — it starts at the stage when you've already stopped feeling much of anything

Phases, in escalating order:

  • Frostnip. Superficial, reversible. Skin goes pale, numb, tingly. Tissues haven't frozen yet. Warm up indoors and it all resolves with no consequences in 30 minutes
  • Superficial frostbite (1st-2nd degree). Skin is white, waxy, hard to the touch. After warming — swelling, redness, possible clear-fluid blisters. Heals in 1-3 weeks
  • Deep frostbite (3rd-4th degree). Skin and subcutaneous tissue are dense, blue-gray. Blood-filled blisters. Tissue loss is possible. This is a medical emergency — call 103, do not try to rewarm "however"

What NOT to do with frostbite:

  • Don't rub with snow — it causes micro-damage to already injured skin
  • Don't warm with open flame, hair dryer, or heating pad above 42 °C — numb skin burns easily
  • Don't rewarm if there's a risk of refreezing. "Thaw-freeze-thaw" is worse than one long freeze
  • Don't drink alcohol — it dilates blood vessels and speeds up heat loss

What to do: get indoors, remove wet clothing, warm the affected area in water at 37-39 °C (comfortable to your hand), drink something warm (not hot) and sweet. If skin doesn't regain feeling in 30-40 minutes or dark blisters appear — get to urgent care

Wilderness & Environmental Medicine · 2024
Wilderness Medical Society, updated clinical guidelines for frostbite
McIntosh SE and colleagues pulled together 15 years of data on field management of frostbite. Key takeaway: warm water at 37-39 °C is the gold standard for rewarming, while rubbing (especially with snow) and dry heat (hair dryer, radiator) double the risk of tissue loss. Only rewarm when refreezing is guaranteed not to happen.

Breathing in the cold: why it hurts and what it has to do with your airways

At −20, the first deep breath through your mouth feels like a sharp ache in your chest. Cold dry air irritates the mucosa and triggers bronchoconstriction: the airways reflexively narrow. In healthy people it's harmless; in people with asthma it can trigger an attack

Simple rules:

  • Breathe through your nose. The nose is a built-in heater: passing through the nasal passages, air warms by 15-20 °C before reaching the lungs
  • Scarf or buff over the mouth. If you need a deep breath, let it go through fabric. Fabric dampened by your exhalations creates a "warm pocket" around your mouth
  • Don't talk or sing in heavy cold. Every mouth exhale carries heat away, every mouth inhale cools the airways. Walk in silence — it's not rudeness, it's physiology
  • Slower pace than usual. The faster you walk, the deeper and more frequently you breathe — and the more your airways cool

People with asthma, COPD and heart failure need to be especially careful in the cold — keep an inhaler with you and try a short test walk before a long one


The heart in the cold: who's at risk

Cold constricts peripheral blood vessels (vasoconstriction), blood flows toward the core, blood pressure rises, the heart has to work harder. For healthy people this is normal adaptation. For people with ischemic heart disease — it's a trigger

The Norwegian Tromsø Study (Naess H et al., 2014) found that strokes and heart attacks in Northern Norway happen more often on cold days, especially during sudden cold snaps. The effect is stronger in people over 60 and in those not acclimated to cold

European Journal of Epidemiology · 2014
Tromsø Study, Norway — cold days and cardiovascular events
Analysis of 27 years of data showed: every −10 °C below neutral temperature raises myocardial infarction risk by 6-19% in older adults. A sharp weather change (10+ degrees in 24 hours) raises stroke risk. The main protective factors are gradual adaptation and adequate clothing. The simple fact of living in a northern climate for 10+ years cuts the effect almost in half.

A healthy person isn't afraid of the cold if they're dressed for it. A person with a prior heart attack, uncontrolled hypertension or serious arrhythmia is better off in a mall or on a treadmill


When the streak isn't worth heading out

Signs that say use a freeze, not head out:

  • Wind chill below −45 °C. Any contact between exposed skin and the open air means frostbite in minutes
  • Snowstorm or blizzard — visibility drops, no landmarks, you can lose your way and get hypothermic
  • Ice after a thaw — the injury risk outweighs the benefit of 10K steps. One broken hip costs you a year of activity
  • If you're sick — colds, flu, fever. Cold weather intensifies bronchial spasm and the load on the heart
  • If you didn't sleep well — slower reactions, higher risk of falling on ice, the body has a harder time with thermoregulation

Qozgal has freezes — skip a day without losing your streak. This isn't "laziness," it's physiologically correct


Plan B — where to walk when the street is off the table

Winter alternatives in the major Kazakhstani cities:

  • Astana: Mega Silk Way (3-4 km of corridors), Khan Shatyr (a heated dome where you can do laps), and the underground passages and pedestrian galleries of the Left Bank
  • Petropavl: Rossiya mall, Admiral mall, the indoor Podgorny market. The Goethe library has a warm hall — pensioners often walk there
  • Kostanay: KazanCity mall, Globus department store. In winter the railway station hall is a large heated space
  • Karaganda: City Mall, Aray Plaza, the indoor Shygys market. Karaganda also has indoor pools with water-walking lanes — gentle on the joints
  • Oskemen, Semey, Pavlodar: malls with long corridors and indoor markets. In Oskemen, the Everest mall is a winter favorite

At home — a walking pad (a compact under-desk treadmill for walking). 70-150K tenge, folds away under the bed, 4 km/h + a TV series = 8,000 steps in a climate-controlled room


Adaptation — why the second winter is easier than the first

The body knows how to adapt to cold. After 2-4 weeks of regular outings in the cold:

  • Resting metabolism goes up — the body starts producing more heat on its own
  • Brown adipose tissue (thermogenic cells) activates — it specifically knows how to produce heat without shivering
  • Peripheral vessels learn to react faster — fingers get cold, but they also warm back up faster
  • Psychologically, you stop perceiving −20 as "horror" — it's just weather

So if you live in northern Kazakhstan, don't take a winter break. A pause in December turns February into suffering. Regular short outings keep the body adapted


Checklist before heading out

  • Checked wind chill, not actual temperature
  • Base layer — synthetic or merino wool, not cotton
  • Three layers on top, mittens or double gloves
  • Scarf or buff covering nose and mouth
  • Boots with grip, insulated, half a size larger
  • If you have a phone — it's charged (battery drops 2-3 times faster in the cold)
  • Someone knows where I'm going and when I'll be back
  • The route has a warm shelter within 5-10 minutes' walk

And if you want specific routes in your own city — we have guides for 27 cities in Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan with winter notes for the northern regions

Sources

  1. McIntosh SE, Opacic M, Freer L et al. "Wilderness Medical Society Clinical Practice Guidelines for the Prevention and Treatment of Frostbite: 2019 Update." Wilderness & Environmental Medicine, 2019. → ScienceDirect
  2. Næss IA, Christiansen SC, Romundstad PR et al. "Cold-related cardiovascular events: Tromsø Study." European Journal of Epidemiology, 2014. → Springer
  3. Mäkinen TM, Hassi J. "Health Problems in Cold Work." Industrial Health, 2009. → J-STAGE
  4. Environment and Climate Change Canada. "Wind Chill Index — Calculation and Health Effects." Government of Canada, 2023. → ECCC
  5. CDC. "Stay Safe in Cold Weather — Hypothermia & Frostbite." Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. → CDC
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